Ingest
Every morning we pull lines from every sportsbook we cover plus the underlying schedule, weather, injuries, lineups, and umpire/ref assignments.
about
the model, the pipeline, the promises.
No black-box magic. A sportsbook line is a market price; we model fair value and ship the gaps. Here's the pipeline and what we hold ourselves to.
the pipeline
six steps from market to published pick.
Model
Per-sport models produce a fair-value probability for every market. MLB uses pitch-by-pitch outputs and ballpark factors; NBA blends rotation projections; NHL leans on shot quality.
Compare
We strip the vig off Pinnacle to get a sharp consensus, then compare every available book's price to our model AND the consensus. Anything beating both is edge.
Rank
Picks are ordered by edge percentage. Verdict tier (anchor / standard / marginal / avoid) is decided by edge + confidence thresholds, not gut feel.
Publish
The full ranked slate goes live by 9am ET. Nothing edited after publication — losses sit next to wins on /history forever.
Settle
After every leg grades, the worker stamps outcome + profit. CLV (closing-line value) is logged for every pick so you can see if our prices were sharp even on losers.
guarantees
what you can hold us to.
No edits, ever
Once a pick publishes, it stays — outcome and all. The full record is on /history.
Transparent tiers
The verdict ladder is defined on /signal-priority. No subjective hot-take overrides.
ET-anchored slate
Pick date and recap both reset on America/New_York midnight so the slate doesn't shift under you.
responsibility
bet what you can lose.
Edge is a long-term expectation, not a short-term guarantee. Variance is real. Even a 60% pick loses 40% of the time. Don't chase losses, don't bet money you need, and don't treat any single night's slate like a payday.
Problem with gambling? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (US) — confidential, 24/7. The picks are math; the discipline is on you.