getting the room pulse…
the live counters wake up the second a real number lands. no fake-empty states, no zeros pretending to be data.
if a number isn't real yet, we don't show it.
the live counters wake up the second a real number lands. no fake-empty states, no zeros pretending to be data.
if a number isn't real yet, we don't show it.
model's read in plain english
This is a Chicago Sky moneyline play at -100 on FanDuel, and it's got a solid +4.9% edge compared to Pinnacle's no-vig line at 54.9%. The price offers real value since the book is undervaluing Chicago at this number, making it a plus-EV spot if you trust the 55% confidence level. Washington's been inconsistent lately while Chicago's been putting together better stretches offensively, which tilts the matchup in the Sky's favor on the road. The main risk is that 55% confidence means this isn't a high-conviction play, so variance will definitely hit you some nights even if the math checks out long-term.
Pinnacle no-vig 54.9%, best FanDuel -100 → +4.9% edge. Kelly: 2.50u.
how picks at this edge level have settled
26
picks settled
53.8%
historical win %
+82.11%
per-unit return
8 prior picks plotted by edge
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