Gavin Williams O6.5 pitcher strikeouts
Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees
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Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees
model's read in plain english
The play is Gavin Williams Over 6.5 strikeouts at +110 on FanDuel, which carries a 1.7% edge when compared to the consensus line of -110 across four books. Williams has been consistently getting strikeout work in his recent starts, and the matchup details suggest hitter vulnerability that could push him toward that seventh K. The main risk here is that we don't have confirmation on the opposing lineup yet, which means you could be buying into a favorable matchup that gets adjusted if a key hitter sits out or the game moves to a pitcher-friendly park.
Gavin Williams O6.5 — consensus 49.3% across 4 books, best fanduel +110 → +1.7% edge.
how picks at this edge level have settled
45
picks settled
60.0%
historical win %
+30.59%
per-unit return
80 prior picks plotted by edge
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